Intermittent social distancing strategy for epidemic control

L. D. Valdez, P. A. Macri, and L. A. Braunstein
Phys. Rev. E 85, 036108 – Published 22 March 2012

Abstract

We study the critical effect of an intermittent social distancing strategy on the propagation of epidemics in adaptive complex networks. We characterize the effect of our strategy in the framework of the susceptible-infected-recovered model. In our model, based on local information, a susceptible individual interrupts the contact with an infected individual with a probability σ and restores it after a fixed time tb. We find that, depending on the network topology, in our social distancing strategy there exists a cutoff threshold σc beyond which the epidemic phase disappears. Our results are supported by a theoretical framework and extensive simulations of the model. Furthermore we show that this strategy is very efficient because it leads to a “susceptible herd behavior” that protects a large fraction of susceptible individuals. We explain our results using percolation arguments.

  • Figure
  • Figure
  • Figure
  • Figure
  • Received 16 December 2011

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.85.036108

©2012 American Physical Society

Authors & Affiliations

L. D. Valdez1, P. A. Macri1, and L. A. Braunstein1,2

  • 1Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata (IFIMAR)–Departamento de Física, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata–CONICET, Funes 3350, (7600) Mar del Plata, Argentina
  • 2Center for Polymer Studies, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts 02215, USA

Article Text (Subscription Required)

Click to Expand

References (Subscription Required)

Click to Expand
Issue

Vol. 85, Iss. 3 — March 2012

Reuse & Permissions
Access Options
Author publication services for translation and copyediting assistance advertisement

Authorization Required


×
×

Images

×

Sign up to receive regular email alerts from Physical Review E

Log In

Cancel
×

Search


Article Lookup

Paste a citation or DOI

Enter a citation
×