Table 3

Budget impact results according to different implementation rates of MLC-aCTG

Analysis, nMLC-aCTG implementation ratesActual costsReimbursed costsBudget impact: actual costs
(95% CI)
Budget impact: reimbursement
(95% CI)
Base-case analysis, n=28 597Reference: 0% (ie, 100% OLC-aCTG)€6 717 139€42 666 047
25%€7 028 902€35 127 711€311 763
(€188 574 to €426 072)
−€7 538 335
(−€10 302 306 to −€4559 661)
50%€7 340 665€27 589 376€623 526
(€377 148 to 852 145)
−€15 076 671
(−€20 604 613 to −€9 119 322)
75%€7 652 428€20 051 040€935 289
(€565 722 to €1 278 217)
−€22 615 006
(−€30 906 919 to −€13 678 984)
100%€7 964 191€12 512 705€1 247 052
(€754 296 to €1 704 290)
−€30 153 342
(−€41 209 225 to −€18 238 645)
Sensitivity analysis,
n=21 375
Reference: 0% (ie, 100% OLC-aCTG)€5 020 892€31 891 792
25%€5 253 927€26 257 077€233 035
(€149 260 to €372 683)
−€5 634 715
(−€9 011 368 to −€3 609 068)
50%€5 486 962€20 622 362€466 070
(€298 520 to €745 366)
−€11 269 431
(−€18 022 736 to −€7 218 136)
75%€5 719 997€14 987 646€699 105
(€447 781 to €1 118 049)
−€16 904 146
(−€27 034 104 to −€10 827 204)
100%€5 953 032€9 352 931€932 140
(€597 041 to €1 490 733)
−€ 22 538 862
(−€36 045 473 to −€14 436 272)
  • Base-case analysis was based on the prevalence of performing an aCTG with three indications (19.8%).

  • Sensitivity analysis was based on the prevalence of performing an aCTG with one indication, that is, reduced fetal movements (14.8%).

  • Costs are indexed to 2020.

  • MLC-aCTG, midwife-led care antenatal cardiotocograph; OLC-aCTG, obstetrician-led care aCTG.